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Monday, February 13, 2012
"Despite the murmur and speculation about (Jeb) Bush and his acceptance of a presidential nomination handed down by the establishment’s Alfalfa Club a couple weeks ago, many believe he will not throw his hat into the ring until 2016. GOP mandarins, notes New York Daily News, will likely fall in line behind Mitt Romney and a brokered convention will be avoided this time around.Many GOP activists have already conceded victory to (Barack) Obama and are looking to 2016 to get another Republican in the White House. That Republican may be the younger Bush"
February 13, 2012
Is it possible Papa Bush, the head of the Bush crime family, will see another son in the Oval Office before he shuffles off the mortal coil?
Al Cardenas, head of the American Conservative Union, seems to think so. He told Mail Online that the former Florida governor would emerge as a “possible alternative” party nominee in a brokered convention at Tampa in August. Cardenas is overseeing this year’s CPAC shindig in Washington.
“We’ll know more in the next few weeks,” said Cardenas. “The pressure’s already been on Mitt Romney to close the sale… and he hasn’t.”
A brokered convention occurs when there are not enough delegates to win primary and caucus election majorities. Thomas Dewey was the last Republican Party brokered presidential nominee in 1948. FDR was the last brokered nominee to win the presidency in 1932. There have been many conventions that came close to being brokered – in 1968, 1976, 1984 and 1988 – but did not actually come to pass.
“March 6th is really the telling date as to whether we have a chance of a brokered convention or not,” said Cardenas. “If Mitt wins Arizona and Michigan at the end of February and runs with the vast majority of delegates on March 6th, I still think he could end it early,” he told the Mail Online.
Super Tuesday is when the largest number of states hold primary elections. This year Super Tuesday falls on March 6th.
“If there’s a mixed bag, if he loses Michigan or Arizona and he wins one or two [on Super Tuesday] and the other states are spread around you might just as well get into a convention where nobody has a majority of delegates.
“And then you might see the possibility of two of the four candidates making a deal, a ticket, things of that nature. It starts getting exciting…. That’s when you start thinking of a Jeb Bush or someone like that could maybe come in as a possible alternative.”
Other dark horse candidates include Chris Christie, Mitch Daniels, or Mike Huckabee.
Jeb Bush has repeatedly stated that he will not seek the nomination. However, according to Cardinas, a dark horse would probably remain silent until summer. “They consider it destructive, they think the process should be given every chance to work itself out, that’s the honorable thing to do. People would only start jockeying around that come June if this is unsettled,” Cardenas said.
Many CPAC activists have voiced their disappointment with the current field of candidates. Not only do they not consider Romney a true conservative, they also think he doesn’t stand a chance against Obama.
Jeb Bush has not endorsed any of the candidates. The elder Bush has said he will not endorse any of the current crop, although his son, George W., favors Romney. “If Dad got behind him, that would help shut the door,” Jeb said about Romney. “But that’s just not his style.” According to the New York Times, Jeb is “troubled” by the ideological drift on the debate, especially in regard to immigration. Like any good globalist, Jeb frames the immigration issue in economic terms.
Despite the murmur and speculation about Bush and his acceptance of a presidential nomination handed down by the establishment’s Alfalfa Club a couple weeks ago, many believe he will not throw his hat into the ring until 2016. GOP mandarins, notes New York Daily News, will likely fall in line behind Mitt Romney and a brokered convention will be avoided this time around.
Many GOP activists have already conceded victory to Obama and are looking to 2016 to get another Republican in the White House. That Republican may be the younger Bush.
Bush Senior is pushing 90. Can he hang in there long enough to see a third Bush family man in the White House?